Monday, June 17, 2019

Tornado Risk Increasing Tuesday With Overall Area In Severe Weather Risk; Stay Weather Aware

The National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has released their outlook for potential severe weather tomorrow, Tuesday, June 18, 2019.




Here's the map of risk for the area on Tuesday:



At this time all of the area is in the SLIGHT RISK (2), however this is an upgrade from yesterday.  And the NWS SPC indicates that the risk is increasing with each run of the computer models.  In addition significant severe weather is possible in some areas.  Take a look at this next map, it shows the counties in the significant severe risk:





[Im hoping to continue my forecasting and severe weather safety sharing all the way into 2020, but I need your help.  If you could donate a dollar or two it would be a great help.  I appreciate it.  Thank you so much, Bryan.]

Significant severe weather consists of the following:
  • Tornadoes
  • Very Large Hail (2"+)
  • Damaging Wind Gusts (up to 80mph)
In addition the SPC was specific to mention our area with a chance of tornadoes:


"Isolated tornadoes may also occur across
   parts of northwest TX and southwestern OK early Tuesday evening if
   storms can remain relatively discrete as a low-level jet gradually
   strengthens across this region."

It's important to pay special attention to this forecast as we get closer to tomorrow.  Tornadoes are not a common risk for this area in June but it can happen and this year is turning out to be an unusually active year even into the summer.

It also seems to be a month where the models change quickly all the way up to the event.  We have seen other accounts this month of the risk jumping rapidly, so I would pay attention to this.

Don't let any tell you this is a 'sugar-coated' forecast and just forget about it as so many of  the locals do.  Remain vigilant and weather aware, that's the best thing you can do in this area.

Have a great day!  There'll be an update about 1230p today and I'll post it as soon as I can.

Meteorologist Bryan W. Rupp


Today's Weather Forecast: Mon., June 17, 2019

Looks like a nice day around the are today after a bit of morning fog in a few areas.  Then Tuesday showers and thunderstorms could be severe with even a few tornadoes.  Then we turn our attention to the end of the week when it could get very hot!  Here's your official forecast:

[Im hoping to continue my forecasting and severe weather safety sharing all the way into 2020, but I need your help.  If you could donate a dollar or two it would be a great help.  I appreciate it.  Thank you so much, Bryan.]


Today
Patchy fog before 7am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Light north wind.
Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 69. Calm wind.
Tuesday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 100. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the morning.
Tuesday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, some could be severe, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. South wind around 8 mph.
Wednesday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. South southwest wind 6 to 10 mph becoming north in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 70.
Thursday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 99.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 76.
Friday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 101.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 75.
Saturday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 95.
Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74.
Sunday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 93.
Keep it right here for further updates on this forecast and the outlook for Tuesday's severe weather.

Meteorologist Bryan W. Rupp

Sunday, June 16, 2019

Tonight's Weather Forecast: Sun., June 16 - Sun., June 23, 2019

Hello everyone!

After a very active night last night of strong to severe thunderstorms, lots of wind and hail things have calmed down.  But looks like we could have some strong storms on Tuesday and then it's forecast to get hot, with potentially, the first 100° of the year.  Let's take a look:


Tonight
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Light and variable wind. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph.
Monday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Light southeast wind.
Tuesday
A 30 percent chance of showers and strong to severe thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 100. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the morning.
Tuesday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. South wind 6 to 8 mph.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 96.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 70.
Thursday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 98.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 75.
Friday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 100.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 76.
Saturday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 97.
Saturday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 75.
Sunday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 93.
[Im hoping to continue my forecasting and severe weather safety sharing all the way into 2020, but I need your help.  If you could donate a dollar or two it would be a great help.  I appreciate it.  Thank you so much, Bryan.]

Have a nice night.

Meteorologist Bryan W. Rupp

*Severe Thunderstorm Watch* until 10p Sun., June 16, '19

The National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a *SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH*
for portions of the area until 8p today.


[Im hoping to continue my forecasting and severe weather safety sharing all the way into 2020, but I need your help.  If you could donate a dollar or two it would be a great help.  I appreciate it.  Thank you so much, Bryan.]

Here's a map of the are in the watch:





For those in southern Texoma be prepared for severe weather including warnings for high winds and large hail.

Here is the official NWS SPC statement on the watch:


   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 387
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   100 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     North-central/west-central Texas

   * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 100 PM until
     800 PM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
       to 75 mph possible
     Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
       to 3 inches in diameter possible
     A tornado or two possible

   SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms will continue to rapidly develop and
   intensify, initially across north Texas in the vicinity of
   boundaries related to prior storms. This will include supercells
   capable of very large hail, and possibly some tornado risk, which
   may be locally enhanced in vicinity of these boundaries. Over time,
   storms will expand and develop south-southeastward through late
   afternoon/early evening with an increased damaging wind risk aside
   from wind-driven large hail.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
   statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles northwest of
   San Angelo TX to 30 miles east northeast of Dallas TX. For a
   complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
   update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

Stay tuned for further updates.

Meteorologist Bryan W. Rupp

Saturday, June 15, 2019

PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION *Severe Thunderstorm Watch* Issued Including Wichita Falls

The National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION
*SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH*
for much of our area



[Im hoping to continue my forecasting and severe weather safety sharing all the way into 2020, but I need your help.  If you could donate a dollar or two it would be a great help.  I appreciate it.  Thank you so much, Bryan.]

Here's the map of the counties effected:



Here is the official statement from the Storm Prediction Center:


   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 364
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   900 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Western and central Oklahoma
     Western North Texas

   * Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 900 PM
     until 400 AM CDT.

   ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

   * Primary threats include...
     Widespread damaging winds and scattered significant gusts to 80
       mph likely
     Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
       inches in diameter possible
     A couple tornadoes possible

   SUMMARY...Potentially significant and widespread severe storms
   capable of wind damage are expected to continue eastward and impact
   a considerable portion of western into central Oklahoma as well as
   western north Texas this evening into the overnight. There is high
   confidence in widespread damaging winds along with isolated large
   hail and possibly some tornado risk as these storms move/accelerate
   east-northeastward.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105
   statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west northwest
   of Altus OK to 25 miles south southeast of Chandler OK. For a
   complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
   update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

Stay tuned for further updates and eventually warnings throughout the evening and potentially the overnight.

Meteorologist Bryan W. Rupp

SPC Upgrades Overnight Storm Risk to MODERATE

The National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has taken the unusual step to upgrade our storm risk, late in the day for the overnight period of  Saturday, June 15, 2019 through Sunday, June 16, 2019.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION!



[Im hoping to continue my forecasting and severe weather safety sharing all the way into 2020, but I need your help.  If you could donate a dollar or two it would be a great help.  I appreciate it.  Thank you so much, Bryan.]

Here's the map of risk for the area on today:




Pay close attention to severe weather information throughout the overnight for details.

Meteorologist Bryan W. Rupp

Radar Images: Sat., June 15, '19

Here you can see radar images from Saturday, June 15, 2019.  The first (or top) radar image is the latest one to be posted.  Older radar images are further down.  I'll try to time stamp each radar image to give you an idea of when they were take.





[Im hoping to continue my forecasting and severe weather safety sharing all the way into 2020, but I need your help.  If you could donate a dollar or two it would be a great help.  I appreciate it.  Thank you so much, Bryan.]------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1048p Radar Update:  More showers and thunderstorms, some severe moving towards Wichita Falls from the southwest.  These could be much more of a problem once we get past 1120p, stay tuned:

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1030p Radar Update:  Suspicious wind pattern in Knox County, watching closely.

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1021p Radar Update:  Wind shift moving through Iowa Park, has moved through Burk and on it's way to Wichita Falls:  

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958p Radar Update:  See that light blue/green line to the right of the main yellow/orange activity?  That is the wind shift line or 'gust front' that will have a substantial amount of wind in it.  Followed by that will be the thunderstorms with greater wind:

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929p Radar Update:  The area in blue on the screen has sustained ground straight line winds to 70mph.  Seek shelter in this area until the storm has passed:

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842p Radar Update:  The blue area on the radar indicates winds on the ground in excess of 80 mph:

*Severe Thunderstorm Warnings* Sat., June 15, '19

Here is a list of the current and former 
*SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS*
in effect around our area.  

The latest warning is listed first.  If you don't see your county or your warning first scroll down to see the other warnings in effect.  This information is directly from the National Weather Service (NWS).




[Im hoping to continue my forecasting and severe weather safety sharing
all the way into 2020, but I need your help. If you could donate a
dollar or two it would be a great help. I appreciate it.
Thank you so much, Bryan.]
-------------------------------------------------------------------
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1152 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Young County in north central Texas...
  Jack County in north central Texas...
  Northern Stephens County in north central Texas...
  Northern Palo Pinto County in north central Texas...

* Until 1230 AM CDT.

* At 1151 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from 6 miles south of Lake Kickapoo to Elbert to 8 miles
  north of Fort Griffin, moving east at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated. At 1135 PM, a wind gust to 57 MPH was
           measured in Throckmorton.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Graham, Jacksboro, Olney, Graford, Bryson, Possum Kingdom State
  Park, Crystal Falls and Newcastle.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection get inside a sturdy structure and stay away from
windows.

Wind damage with these storms will occur before any rain or
lightning. Do not wait for the sound of thunder before taking cover.
SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY inside a sturdy structure and stay away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3296 9909 3296 9895 3340 9895 3340 9842
      3347 9842 3347 9802 3300 9803 3300 9805
      3285 9806 3284 9910
TIME...MOT...LOC 0451Z 273DEG 35KT 3355 9880 3328 9898 3305 9926

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1118 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

The National Weather Service in San Angelo has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Eastern Haskell County in west central Texas...
  Throckmorton County in west central Texas...

* Until midnight CDT.

* At 1117 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Weinert, or
  7 miles north of Haskell, moving northeast at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* This severe thunderstorm will be near...
  Millers Creek Reservoir around 1150 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include The
Intersection Of Us-183 And Us-283, Us-183 Near The Throckmorton-
Baylor County Line and The Intersection Of Us-380 And Highway 222.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3340 9896 3305 9895 3301 9969 3319 9977
      3328 9961 3340 9948
TIME...MOT...LOC 0417Z 232DEG 32KT 3326 9972

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Norman OK
1056 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Western Archer County in northern Texas...
  Southern Wichita County in northern Texas...
  Southeastern Knox County in northern Texas...
  Southeastern Wilbarger County in northern Texas...
  Baylor County in northern Texas...

* Until midnight CDT.

* At 1055 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from 5 miles northeast of Lake Kemp to 7 miles north of
  Red Springs to near Vera, moving east at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Wichita Falls, Seymour, Munday, Iowa Park, Electra, Holliday,
  Megargel, Goree, Red Springs, Sheppard AFB, Lake Diversion, Dundee,
  Westover, Bomarton, Lake Kemp, Mabelle, Mankins, Lake Kickapoo,
  Grayback and Vera.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3340 9969 3373 9951 3404 9918 3399 9842
      3395 9842 3340 9888
TIME...MOT...LOC 0355Z 251DEG 36KT 3383 9915 3373 9944 3360 9956

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Norman OK
1039 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Eastern Comanche County in southwestern Oklahoma...
  Jefferson County in southern Oklahoma...
  Western Garvin County in southern Oklahoma...
  Grady County in central Oklahoma...
  Southeastern Caddo County in southwestern Oklahoma...
  Stephens County in southern Oklahoma...
  Eastern Cotton County in southwestern Oklahoma...
  Northwestern Carter County in southern Oklahoma...
  Southwestern McClain County in central Oklahoma...
  Northern Clay County in northern Texas...
  East central Wichita County in northern Texas...

* Until 1130 PM CDT.

* At 1039 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from near Verden to 4 miles northwest of Corum to 5 miles
  southwest of Temple to 6 miles north of Iowa Park, moving east at
  45 mph.

  HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable
           tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes,
           roofs, and outbuildings.

* Locations impacted include...
  Northwestern Wichita Falls, Duncan, Chickasha, Burkburnett,
  Blanchard, Marlow, Walters, Waurika, Lindsay, Healdton, Goldsby,
  Comanche, Maysville, Rush Springs, Bray, Fletcher, Cyril, Ringling,
  Temple and Dibble.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Wind damage with these storms will occur before any rain or
lightning. Do not wait for the sound of thunder before taking cover.
SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY inside a sturdy structure and stay away from
windows.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3398 9870 3438 9830 3512 9820 3513 9742
      3435 9735 3418 9754 3395 9786
TIME...MOT...LOC 0339Z 272DEG 41KT 3509 9811 3442 9814 3423 9831 3405
9870

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1011 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  KNOX COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1115 PM CDT.

* AT 1011 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 14 MILES
  NORTHWEST OF O'BRIEN, MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

  HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS, SIDING, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
           WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS, SIDING, AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MUNDAY, KNOX CITY, BENJAMIN, GOREE, VERA AND RHINELAND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM, AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3340 9999 3368 9999 3374 9948 3340 9947
TIME...MOT...LOC 0311Z 272DEG 31KT 3350 10005 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
--------------------------------------------------------------
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1010 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  COMANCHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTHWESTERN GRADY COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTHERN CADDO COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  WESTERN STEPHENS COUNTY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...
  COTTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  TILLMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  NORTHWESTERN CLAY COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...
  CENTRAL WICHITA COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...
  EAST CENTRAL WILBARGER COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1100 PM CDT.

* AT 1010 PM CDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTH OF FORT COBB TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  GERONIMO TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF IOWA PARK, MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

  HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE 
           TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES, 
           ROOFS, AND OUTBUILDINGS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  NORTHERN WICHITA FALLS, LAWTON, DUNCAN, CHICKASHA, BURKBURNETT,
  ANADARKO, MARLOW, FREDERICK, WALTERS, CACHE, ELECTRA, ELGIN,
  CARNEGIE, COMANCHE, APACHE, GERONIMO, RUSH SPRINGS, FLETCHER, CYRIL
  AND GRANDFIELD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND DAMAGE WITH THESE STORMS WILL OCCUR BEFORE ANY RAIN OR
LIGHTNING. DO NOT WAIT FOR THE SOUND OF THUNDER BEFORE TAKING COVER.
SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS, AND MAY LEAD TO 
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3402 9920 3457 9895 3511 9880 3511 9874
      3510 9874 3511 9872 3510 9871 3511 9870
      3511 9863 3510 9862 3511 9862 3513 9787
      3435 9792 3396 9817
TIME...MOT...LOC 0310Z 276DEG 34KT 3502 9847 3440 9846 3405 9873 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
---------------------------------------------------------


---------------------------------------------------------
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
936 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  COMANCHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTHWESTERN CADDO COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  WESTERN COTTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  EASTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  TILLMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTHEASTERN GREER COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  NORTHERN WICHITA COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...
  CENTRAL WILBARGER COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT.

* AT 935 PM CDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES WEST OF GOTEBO TO 5 MILES EAST OF MANITOU TO
  NEAR HARROLD, MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

  HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

  SOURCE...THERE HAVE BEEN REPORTS OF WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH WITH 
           THESE STORMS. 

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE 
           TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES, 
           ROOFS, AND OUTBUILDINGS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LAWTON, ALTUS, VERNON, BURKBURNETT, FREDERICK, HOBART, CACHE,
  ELECTRA, GRANITE, CARNEGIE, SNYDER, GERONIMO, GRANDFIELD, TIPTON,
  BLAIR, MOUNTAIN VIEW, FORT COBB, OLUSTEE, CHATTANOOGA AND LONE
  WOLF.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

WIND DAMAGE WITH THESE STORMS WILL OCCUR BEFORE ANY RAIN OR
LIGHTNING. DO NOT WAIT FOR THE SOUND OF THUNDER BEFORE TAKING COVER.
SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3439 9947 3462 9942 3495 9945 3512 9922
      3511 9877 3510 9862 3511 9862 3511 9840
      3453 9834 3403 9857 3406 9948
TIME...MOT...LOC 0235Z 266DEG 32KT 3506 9897 3452 9888 3412 9905 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
921 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

TXC023-155-275-487-160245-
/O.CON.KOUN.SV.W.0592.000000T0000Z-190616T0245Z/
FOARD TX-KNOX TX-WILBARGER TX-BAYLOR TX-
921 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN FOARD...NORTHEASTERN KNOX...SOUTHWESTERN WILBARGER
AND NORTHWESTERN BAYLOR COUNTIES...

AT 921 PM CDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF MARGARET TO 9 MILES SOUTH OF
THALIA TO 4 MILES EAST OF GILLILAND, MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS, SIDING, AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CROWELL, RED SPRINGS, MARGARET, LOCKETT, THALIA, GILLILAND,
SOUTHWESTERN LAKE KEMP, RAYLAND AND COPPER BREAKS STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

WIND DAMAGE WITH THESE STORMS WILL OCCUR BEFORE ANY RAIN OR
LIGHTNING. DO NOT WAIT FOR THE SOUND OF THUNDER BEFORE TAKING COVER.
SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3378 9980 3410 9975 3409 9967 3410 9965
      3406 9955 3408 9952 3407 9949 3408 9948
      3414 9924 3381 9925 3358 9938
TIME...MOT...LOC 0221Z 276DEG 26KT 3410 9962 3385 9956 3373 9961 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
--------------------------------------------------------------
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
858 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  FOARD COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...
  CENTRAL KNOX COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...
  SOUTHWESTERN WILBARGER COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...
  NORTHWESTERN BAYLOR COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 945 PM CDT.

* AT 857 PM CDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF CROWELL TO 8 MILES NORTH OF
  TRUSCOTT TO 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF BENJAMIN, MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE 
           TO ROOFS, SIDING, AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CROWELL, BENJAMIN, RED SPRINGS, MARGARET, LOCKETT, VERA, THALIA,
  TRUSCOTT, GILLILAND, SOUTHWESTERN LAKE KEMP, RAYLAND AND COPPER
  BREAKS STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3387 9983 3414 9990 3414 9985 3409 9977
      3410 9975 3409 9967 3410 9965 3406 9955
      3408 9952 3407 9949 3408 9948 3414 9924
      3381 9925 3353 9940 3355 9998
TIME...MOT...LOC 0157Z 277DEG 26KT 3412 9983 3387 9976 3366 9984 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
-------------------------------------------------------------


------------------------------------------------------------
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
856 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN COMANCHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  TILLMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  HARMON COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTHEASTERN GREER COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  NORTHERN WILBARGER COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...
  HARDEMAN COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 945 PM CDT.

* AT 854 PM CDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM NEAR MANGUM TO NEAR ELMER TO 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
  CHILLICOTHE, MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

  HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE 
           TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES, 
           ROOFS, AND OUTBUILDINGS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ALTUS, VERNON, FREDERICK, HOBART, MANGUM, QUANAH, HOLLIS, GRANITE,
  SNYDER, TIPTON, BLAIR, CHILLICOTHE, OLUSTEE, ELDORADO, LONE WOLF,
  MOUNTAIN PARK, INDIAHOMA, DAVIDSON, ROOSEVELT AND GOTEBO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE. SEEK 
SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS! 

WIND DAMAGE WITH THESE STORMS WILL OCCUR BEFORE ANY RAIN OR 
LIGHTNING. DO NOT WAIT FOR THE SOUND OF THUNDER BEFORE TAKING COVER.
SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3512 9903 3512 9889 3462 9869 3417 9884
      3418 9892 3421 9895 3417 9895 3407 9949
      3407 9953 3406 9955 3410 9965 3409 9977
      3419 9993 3453 9993 3486 9997
TIME...MOT...LOC 0154Z 257DEG 40KT 3488 9947 3452 9936 3419 9946 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
______________________________________________
________________________
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
827 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  TILLMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTHEASTERN GREER COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...
  NORTHERN WILBARGER COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN HARDEMAN COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 915 PM CDT.

* AT 826 PM CDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM NEAR HOLLIS TO 4 MILES SOUTH OF GOULD TO 4 MILES
  NORTH OF QUANAH TO 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF CROWELL, MOVING EAST AT 55
  MPH.

  THESE ARE VERY DANGEROUS STORMS.

  HAZARD...80 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT 
           SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED. EXPECT 
           CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES. 
           EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ALTUS, VERNON, FREDERICK, HOBART, MANGUM, GRANITE, SNYDER, TIPTON,
  BLAIR, CHILLICOTHE, OLUSTEE, ELDORADO, LONE WOLF, MOUNTAIN PARK,
  DAVIDSON, ROOSEVELT, MANITOU, MARTHA, ELMER AND HEADRICK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO 
PRODUCE WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE! SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY 
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

WIND DAMAGE WITH THESE STORMS WILL OCCUR BEFORE ANY RAIN OR
LIGHTNING. DO NOT WAIT FOR THE SOUND OF THUNDER BEFORE TAKING COVER.
SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3458 9966 3475 9967 3477 9972 3489 9972
      3512 9905 3512 9897 3488 9882 3456 9883
      3419 9888 3418 9892 3421 9895 3418 9895
      3406 9957 3409 9962 3410 9973
TIME...MOT...LOC 0126Z 252DEG 46KT 3472 9988 3461 9979 3436 9973 3407
9984

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...80MPH

*Severe Thunderstorm Watch* until 10p Sat., June 15, '19

The National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a *SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH*
for portions of the area until 10p today.



Here's a map of the are in the watch:






[Im hoping to continue my forecasting and severe weather safety sharing all the way into 2020, but I need your help.  If you could donate a dollar or two it would be a great help.  I appreciate it.  Thank you so much, Bryan.]
The watch covers areas of central Texoma and all areas to the west, northwest and southwest.  Folks in these areas can expect severe thunderstorms later tonight, probably after 7p-10p.  The main threats will be:

  • Very High Damaging Thunderstorm Winds up to 75mph
  • Very Large Hail
Here are the official details from the NWS SPC:


   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 361
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   340 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     western and northern Oklahoma
     northwest Texas

   * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 340 PM until
     1000 PM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
       mph likely
     Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
       inches in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...Rapidly developing and intensifying thunderstorms are
   expected across the region late this afternoon, accompanied by the
   risk for severe hail and strong surface gusts.  Into early evening,
   one or two larger clusters of storms are expected to eventually
   evolve and may gradually pose a risk for more widespread damaging
   wind gusts while spreading eastward.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
   statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles east northeast
   of Borger TX to 55 miles west southwest of Abilene TX. For a
   complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
   update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

Stay tuned for further updates, possible additional watches and warnings.

Meteorologist Bryan W. Rupp

Severe Weather Risk Quickly Rising; Remain Weather Aware Today Sat. June 15, '19

The National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has released their outlook for a potential significant severe weather event today, Saturday, June 15, 2019.




Here's the map of risk for the area on today:



A majority of the area is in an ENHANCED RISK (3) of severe weather.  This is an upgrade from earlier forecasts and should be taken seriously.  This is the highest risk of severe weather we've seen since late May.

Severe weather threats include:

  • Very High Damaging Winds Over 80mph
  • Very Large Hail
  • Isolated Tornadoes

[Thank you so much for being loyal readers, especially over the past year.  As you know I don't sugar coat the weather like some do in this area.  I give it to you straight, I report what the forecast is plain and simple.  That way you make informed and good decisions during any strong to severe weather.  But, I do need some help keeping it all going.  If you get a chance hit the button above to donate and I'll be able to keep this up and running all the way through to the beginning of 2020, now that I'm allowed to.  Thanks for your support, it means a lot.  Bryan]

People in the entire area should be weather aware and prepared for multiple watches and warnings later on this afternoon and evening.  Official timing on this is likely to be 4p-4a.

Stay tuned for further updates.  Also, please notify friends and families about this enhanced weather risk as many folks often believe that severe weather threats end when the month of May ends but not this year.

This has the potential to be a high end severe wind event.  Take time to secure outside yard items now as they could become airborne later today/tonight.

The threat is not confined to today.  There's is also a threat of severe weather tomorrow as well.  Wind will also be the main threat tomorrow (Sunday).  Here's the map for the severe weather outlook Sunday:




Stay tuned here for further updates, watches and warnings.

Meteorologist Bryan W. Rupp