Thursday, May 23, 2019

Multiple Severe Weather Days Ahead; Storms Keeping Coming

The National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued their Severe Weather Threat Risk outlooks for the next eight days and there's a risk of severe weather in the area 5 of the 8 days.

Seems like once Mother Nature got started with this severe weather thing this Spring she is really holding onto it.

Let's dive right in for today, Thursday, May 23, 2019.  Here's the map for today:






Here's how the counties break down for risk (at this time...as we learned yesterday, this can change quickly!):

MARGINAL RISK (1):  Wichita (including Wichita Falls), Tillman, Comanche, Wilbarger, Baylor and Throckmorton.

SLIGHT RISK (2):  King, Stonewall, Haskell, Knox, Foard, Hardeman, Jackson and Kiowa.

ENHANCED RISK (3):  Greer, Harmon, Childress and Cottle.

Types of severe and timing:  Looks like the western part of our area could see two rounds of thunderstorms.  The fist being in the late afternoon with a few supercells in the ENHANCED RISK (3) area.  During this time all modes of severe weather including large hail, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes are possible.  Then there will be a second round, most likely in the form of a squall line from north to south overnight into Friday morning.  During this round the most likely form of severe weather will be damaging winds.  The big question...how far east with the storms make it?  After yesterday's unexpected event, one has to wonder, and be on his/her guard just incase those storms wander outside of these current boundaries.

OK, let's take a look at Friday, May 24, 2019.  Here's the map:




Here's how the counties break down for risk at this time:

MARGINAL RISK (1):  Wichita (including Wichita Falls), Cotton, Stephens, Baylor, Throckmorton and Haskell.

SLIGHT RISK (2):  Comanche, Tillman, Wilbarger, Knox, Stonewall, Kiowa, Jackson, Hardeman, Foard, King, Greer, Harmon, Cottle and Childress..

And finally here is day three, Saturday, May 25, 2019...and the map:




The area of concern continues to slowly migrate further west but the atmosphere could still bring our area some severe weather:

MARGINAL RISK (1):  Wilbarger, Jackson, Kiowa, Hardeman, Foard, Knox, King and Stonewall.

SLIGHT (2):  Cottle, Childress, Harmon and Greer.

Stay tuned right here for official update, possible watches and warnings.

Meteorologist Bryan Rupp