Saturday, June 22, 2019

3p Update: ENHANCED Severe Weather Threat Risk Continues Today/Sunday

The National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has released their updated Severe Weather Threat Risk for today, Saturday, June 22, 2019 and Sunday, June 23, 2019.

There continues to be an enhanced chance of a severe weather event tonight and tomorrow.  Let's take a look:

For today, Saturday, June 22, 2019:





Here's how the risk areas break down:

ENHANCED RISK (3) for the following counties/cities in the area:

  • Tillman (Frederick)
  • Comanche (Lawton)
  • Jackson (Altus)
  • Kiowa (Hobart)
  • Greer (Mangum)

Timing of the event: 700p CDT - 200a CDT

Severe weather threats expected:

  • Isolated Tornadoes
  • Very Large Hail
  • Damaging Thunderstorm Winds/Gusts



SLIGHT RISK (2) for the following counties/cities in the area:

  • Wichita (Wichita Falls)
  • Clay (Henrietta)
  • Montague (Nocona)
  • Wilbarger (Vernon)
  • Hardeman (Quanah)
  • Foard (Crowell)
  • Childress (Childress)
  • Cottle (Paducah)

Timing of the event:  700p CDT - 300a CDT

Severe weather threats expected:

  • Highly Isolated Tornadoes
  • Very Large Hail
  • Damaging Thunderstorm Winds/Gusts



[Im hoping to continue my forecasting and severe weather safety sharing all the way into 2020, but I need your help.  If you could donate a dollar or two it would be a great help.  I appreciate it.  Thank you so much, Bryan.]

MARGINAL RISK (1) for the following counties/cities in the area:

  • Archer (Archer City)
  • Baylor (Seymour)
  • Young (Graham)
  • Jack (Jacksboro)
  • Knox (Benjamin)
  • Haskell (Haskell)
  • Stonewall (Aspermont)
  • King (Guthrie)

Timing of the event:  900p CDT - 400a CDT

Severe weather threats expected:

  • Large Hail
  • Damaging Thunderstorm Winds/Gusts


Throckmorton County has been removed from the risk for Saturday.

Stay tuned here for further updates, possible upgrades, downgrades, watches and warnings.

Now let's move on to tomorrow, Sunday, June 23, 2019.  Here's the map of the risk areas:





A majority of the area will be in the ENHANCED RISK (3) while the Rolling Plains/Caprock Desert Counties will be in the SLIGHT RISK (2).

Stay tuned for updates on tomorrow's higher and more widespread severe weather event.

Meteorologist Bryan Rupp